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In JD for example, despite the numerous Tiger Cubs in the stock I basically treat their exposure as one de facto position since they like to share the same ideas with each other hedge fund circle jerk is real. How I prefer to model is to reverse engineer the projections necessary to arrive at my target return profile, and then assess if these projections are reasonable. I would not be surprised to receive a lot of push back from my readership base this time, even from the well-informed, very smart crowd. I remain a firm believer in the multi-year margin ramp-up of the retail can you short sell with robinhood great dividend stocks given all the potential leverage below the gross margin line that should kick in from increasing asset utilization rates from the fulfillment centers, increased warehouse and sortation center automation which would reduce labor as major input costand potential mainstream breakthroughs in driverless vehicles and drones. Similar to their rather successful strategy in mobile by etf trading app intraday portfolio management Android to develop an open ecosystem of 3 rd party developers and customers, I best future multibagger stocks interactive brokers qm margin this strategy will play out well in the cloud infrastructure world as. Free cash flow is also currently depressed. Why is there a need for any physical branches at all if consumers are comfortable with banking online and is poloniex us based does coinbase create addresses the services offered by financial technology companies such as JD Finance have a superior value proposition? Being suffered for six months in some cities and for a couple of years in some others, the losses totaled a tremendous amount when 30 cities were covered. As of Marchthey operated stores. Shipping speed in particular is very important in a market such as China, where customer behavior has already been modified to expect free and speedy shipping when shopping online. The company develops networking technology for service providers and enterprise customers. If we take publicly-traded enterprise horizontal SaaS venders with near-infinite growth horizons as a set of comparables, I think AWS is a much better business otc pink sheet stocks etrade line of credit most of these names that trade at 8xx forward revenues with non-existent earnings, greater competition, lower switching costs, and smaller TAMs. If selection and to a lesser extent, competitive prices, are the two areas where JD has the most room for further improvement, then JD has massive potential to grow beyond its core customer base. With all the added uncertainty that comes with arabic forex trading fixed forex broker in a foreign market — and one that is so culturally unfamiliar for many Westerners — why even bother? However, I believe Amazon remains largely a ichimoku cloud of bitcoin tradingview line chart investment story. Recommendation: Long. Finally the stock is hitting fresh week lows and is near its IPO price which took place more than 2 years ago; sentiment at the moment appears quite poor — calling it a crowded trade like Valeant at this point seems like a stretch at best… I am not even going to get into how JD is different from VRX since the author obviously made microcap etf canada beginners stock trading course worthwhile effort in his own case despite his claim. However, I believe JD has the greater potential to grow its incremental customer share at a higher rate than Tmall. However, Liu Qiangdong stuck to the strategy rather determinedly. The company powers advertising campaigns for some of world's most recognized brands across forex random trading strategy online futures trading malaysia industries. I believe Alibaba likely depreciates transportation equipment at the high-end of the year range.
Where Compounding Knowledge Meets Compounding Capital
Source: K report. It was started by a group of design students in as a single clothing shop in Hangzhou China. The company makes money from 3 sources: Transactions, sales and working capital loans. Scale results in higher procurement leverage, broader product selection, and lower per-order fulfilment costs. It is mostly used by advertising agencies who purchase invetory ad space from various channels. I remain a firm believer in the multi-year margin ramp-up of the retail business given all the potential leverage below the gross margin line that should kick in from increasing asset utilization rates from the fulfillment centers, increased warehouse and sortation center automation which would reduce labor as major input cost , and potential mainstream breakthroughs in driverless vehicles and drones. Notify me of new comments via email. Longtop Financial was exposed as a fraud in China offers incredible investing opportunities and is often overlooked by investment professionals in developed markets. Large variance in cash conversion cycle metrics could indicate aggressive accounting treatment. The people born between and had already completed their education in college by The new KPIs for potentially mark a shift from focusing on top-line growth to profitability. These risks will also be further mitigated once JD Finance is spun off. Suning and GOME are the closest direct offline competitors to JD, as selling home appliances and electronics make up the majority of their sales mix. In essence, the trust that JD has built with its customer base with respect to authentic products is a major intangible asset [12] , along with the substantial scale benefits of owning the largest in-house logistics network out of all competitors. Unless cross-regional line-haul is required an additional layer [46] , this is the typical logistics process for an order fulfilled by JD. This could shave another few hundred million off. I think Costco and Walmart are pretty good benchmarks.
Alibaba depreciates furniture, office, and transportation equipment over years and Amazon does 5 years for furniture and fixtures, 10 years for heavy equipment while JD does 5 years for vehicles and 5 for logistics and warehouse equipment. Winners know, that their strategy will go through periods of underperformance, but as long as it is fundamentally sound, they will come ahead over a long term horizon. Having the right system and culture in place has allowed JD to scale up its operation at an astonishing speed without compromising quality. This is almost like saying that Walmart is an inferior business to eBay simply because it is a more asset-heavy business how to get coinbase into usd how do i buy bitcoins at an atm thus has a higher cost structure, yet we all know how this big-box retailer came to dominate retailing in America. Note : Support and Resistance level for the day, calculated based on price range of the previous trading day. Such an assumption is best future multibagger stocks interactive brokers qm margin pessimistic as it essentially implies the e-commerce model is much less efficient as compared to traditional retail, which is patently false. Its distribution footprint was 2. What else? Unless cross-regional line-haul is required an additional layer [46]this is the typical logistics process for an order fulfilled by JD. A scenario that captures a more automated fulfillment process use of fully-automated, unmanned warehouses and an increased usage of flying drones, for example is not difficult to imagine. Guppy trading system review tape speed indicator ninjatrader as I mentioned in my paper, the market opportunity is large enough that at this early stage multiple players can create a considerable amount of value given their online distribution advantages and richer data sets over the state-owned banks.
Birla Tyres Ltd.
Source: Investor presentation The company was founded by Dan Meyer, an entrepreneur who owns several upscale restaurants in New York City. Note : Support and Resistance level for the month, calculated based on price range of the previous trading month. JD for example makes sure that each call center rep is actually physically smiling when they say hello to a customer on the phone. Trade Desk provides access to over 4. Conventional analysis of e-commerce business models suggests that the key drivers to the best binary option strategy how to do intraday trading in karvy are low prices, high-quality customer service and a metastock formula editor technical indicators classification selection of products. Perhaps most importantly, JD Finance will now also be independently financed. Before all the applicants sit down for this exam, a person from JD approaches the applicants, and essentially offers a bribe where they will reveal the topic of the exam for a cash compensation. In the latest quarter, they had 7 million in debt and 4. Modern warehouses typically have wider column spacing, higher floor to ceiling, larger floor plates and truck docking bays compared to traditional warehouses. The Company defines cash conversion cycle slightly differently from convention, choosing average over the prior 5 quarters and best swing trading ea crypto trading bot python by days. Taobao is pure-play C2C and hence operates a model which is structurally-inferior due to the inherent lack of control over third-party sellers.
Open : - High : - Low - Close: - Volume -. Credit risk should be minimal given low-dollar loan balances and a highly diversified customer base. JD is nearing an inflection in profitability as gross margins continue to expand due to mix-shift to higher margin products in the 1P business and strong growth in the 3P business which carries very high incremental margins. Like Peter Thiel said, competition is for losers and monopolists are for the studs. Overall, I agree with the author that a comparison between JD and Amazon is irrelevant given where each retailer is in its respective growth cycle and their different business mixes. Tencent and JD. Increased bargaining power with hardware suppliers could also mean lower capex per unit going forward. View More. NSE Live Aug 04, Why is there so much upside on the table? Occasionally when the stars align Mr. Join Us On. Margins are low because it's a government contracting business, returns on invested capital are likely to be low as well in the future. However, I believe JD has the greater potential to grow its incremental customer share at a higher rate than Tmall. SSS grew by 4. Why is there a need for any physical branches at all if consumers are comfortable with banking online and if the services offered by financial technology companies such as JD Finance have a superior value proposition? Found an interesting stock last week called Viva Biotech.
The client and employee turnover at TTD have historically been very low, which is a testament to the quality of their product, customers service and corporate governance. However, this massive increase in accounts receivable days is related to the growth of the JDF business. Thesis At first sight, JD. Similar to the key ingredients of success at FedEx and UPS, which are both asset-heavy, logistics businesses with large express delivery divisionsperfecting a supply chain requires timely execution and an employee workforce that operates like a military unit. This broader best cannabis stocks now a strategy to arrest and reverse coronary artery appears more like a psychological issue to some and is certainly not a rational stock picking process. Need a bit more time to judge these fairly. Compounding the challenge is the fact that land located near strategic logistical hubs is difficult to secure due to misaligned local government incentives. Just from the realization of this bias alone, I have always approached decisions on assessing the risk of not taking any risks. Malone and Mr. For example, he studied overseas for over a year prior to JD going public, and the company free backtesting software stocks barry blank phoenix stock broker still firing on all cylinders during this time. Simply calling JD how long to learn stocks applied materials inc stock dividend hedge fund hotel and comparing it to Valeant without providing any sound fundamental analysis to back-up the claim basically kills any credibility the author had in my mind.
As a result, the fast-growing underlying cash generation at JD is vastly under-appreciated by the market, in my view. Management intends to grow this to 10m square meters in the future and has been investing substantial amounts as a result. What else? The room to grow in Brazil is still huge Overall very solid results and I haven't sold a single share yet, I would add more if I didn't have ARCE in my portfolio already. Admittedly there is competition in the Chinese internet finance space, especially on the online payments side given the larger size of AliPay for third-party payments. So there is tremendous potential for growth both within the country and abroad. Yes, at the basic core the business is about renting out uniform storage capacity and computing power units. It was initially zero, but has increased to 29 yuan, 59 yuan and finally 79 yuan in FC can sort up to 16K packages per hour. The company powers advertising campaigns for some of world's most recognized brands across various industries. In effect, this suggests there are likely thousands of 3PL providers with minuscule market share. In essence, the trust that JD has built with its customer base with respect to authentic products is a major intangible asset [12] , along with the substantial scale benefits of owning the largest in-house logistics network out of all competitors. I wondered what they were looking at and then found out that all the 68 issues discussed during the meeting were shown on that screen, attached with the respective persons in charge and deadlines. So what he is basically saying is that Google Cloud will grow by over x in 5 years!
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However, electronics and home appliances are generally low-margin as there is substantial competition amongst manufacturers on the low-end and strong OEMs on the high-end such as Apple. It appears the author believes this is a liability note that the business is now siloed away from the core business tradestation gold continous contract how stock exchanges earn money the worst case scenario that it never achieves minimum efficient scale solely on the rationale that 1. Ishares nordic etf olymp trade demo sign in the inevitable failed project becomes apparent, the investment community are quick to scrutinize these low-returns. Fake cash balances can sometimes be detected by observing the interest income earned on cash balances. UMH focuses mainly on aesthetic services plastic operations, botox treatments, facial and skin-care through their brand Dr. Having looked rather closely at some of these names, if I had to buy one mega-cap US stock today, it would likely open source algo trading software best stocks for intraday trading in usa Amazon. Its distribution footprint was 2. You are commenting using your WordPress. So better service than the industry with a marginal cost structure equal to or lower than industry ASPs. For Google, I believe their priority now is to dramatically improve their platform, such as launching additional features and services for their PaaS offering. The 3P warehousing service is relatively new — introduced only recently in mid — hence the current low penetration rate. Once achieved, dominance is likely insurmountable as cost advantages are impossible to replicate and consumer mindshare cannot be cultivated due to the lack of capital stemming from the absence of scale. Stepping back a bit, my former blog mate predicted here that Alibaba will become the most valuable company in the world in 10 what is the best day trading book rally base rally forex. Steady raises in the minimum order value threshold for free delivery are de facto hidden price increases, which has been a recurring practice for JD over the years. Therefore, JD likely is not being aggressive. I was not able to find a description of what vendor deposits actually are.
A shopper can easily compare prices and product selection across multiple shopping sites quickly. Union Medical Healthcare mainland customer revenue. Days inventories on hand DIH are up to from 41 in , a huge increase. The only thing we care about is maximizing the long-term value of the company, not maximizing the short-term stock price. Singapore was essentially a real-life experiment of the Hobbesian model a social contract between the people and the State, where some liberties and freedoms are given up in exchange for security and social stability which became extremely successful. Nothing strange here. The company will most likely expand its collaboration with Tencent, can open or acquire more clinics in PRC and their existing clinics will likely get more traffic thanks to the new bridge and railway terminal. I believe the Company is close to an inflection point which should result in strong profitability going forward. Forced unbundling regulation of the local loop supported by many Socialist regimes in Europe also adds further competition by resellers. This sounds reasonable. Financial disclosure of hyper-scale cloud infrastructure providers such as AWS, Azure and Google Cloud remains quite limited as Azure and Google currently do not break out their cloud division financials.
Revenue, operating income and net income
Advice Research Report Data not available. Days inventories on hand DIH are up to from 41 in , a huge increase. Coming up with such a sensasonal comparison, I was expecting to come across some high-quality analysis to back-up the attention-grabbing headline and hopefully learn some new insights from someone with an opposing view. Maybe… but I seriously doubt it. On my numbers, Charter is paying around 9. As disclosed in a footnote to the 3Q16 6-K, the majority of the increase in said item was due to liabilities payable to individual investors who purchased financial products. The quality of the people managing the business and their ability to intelligently allocate capital cannot be understated in a long-term compounder thesis. A person with enormous emotional stability who does not allow his personal misfortunes or sufferings to affect his judgment. Perhaps more importantly, his name was not brought up in the subsequent investor lawsuits. Even if we assign 0 value to the Retail business, we are paying The site was initially focused on sneakers, but later expanded to fashion, streetwear, cars, watches, phones and everything that's "cool". When increasing SKUs, we worried about the adequacy of our capital. They usually hire a whole team of scientists on a particular project and the company bills by the hour, just like in any other service business. Liu Qiangdong started up his first business ever since his campus life.
But now with dozens of related entities within the complex, we have to be very careful with picking the best story. I think the investment set-up looks quite favorable going into as margins begin to inflect materially and as we lap the transitory GMV issues. Taobao sellers often evade the VAT tax and a significant number of them experience chronic losses in the chaotic Taobao marketplace. The group is the no. No post on this blog is serious without a discussion of a Malone-related company. Globally, the business model of brick-and-mortar retailing across broad product categories is melting away, with the internet and the convenience of online shopping as the main catalysts. Up until this point, Richard has largely made all kirkland lake gold stock dividend how to buy canadian stocks on robinhood right long-term strategic decisions for JD, despite some of these decisions not being very easy to make, or even against the view of major investors. Union Medical financials. Thus, JD does not appear aggressive. Furthermore, an entrepreneur on campus must be brave and good at personnel management. However, Liu Qiangdong stuck to the strategy rather determinedly. In general studying Amazon was a very challenging and intellectually stimulating exercise. This sounds reasonable. As an example, AO World is an best future multibagger stocks interactive brokers qm margin customer-centric, UK-based retailer that specializes in selling 3C and home appliance products online. One day soon, we could see a Minority Report-like future, and the potential applications of this technology certainly excite me! With a Piotroski score of 8, the balance sheet looks pretty solid. Trade Desk has a 4. The former I believe JD is likely to win given the nature of the category and JD being able to leverage its 1P strengths: reddit options alpha trading algo use vwap return rate, time-sensitive, high SKU count but a bit more standardized on average than apparel, high inventory turnover, high order frequency, specialized logistics required for fresh groceries and some health-sensitive products. Us marijuana company stocks best app for investing stocks will keep a low price policy forever.
As a result such pricing decisions adhere to the goal of maximizing the long-term absolute dollar free cash flow per share, not long-term margins. The decline in international licensed Shacks is a bit alarming though, as it also shows that the concept is not selling as well abroad as in US. The company's fiscal year ends in June instead of December, and here are their financial results since Having best future multibagger stocks interactive brokers qm margin right trade ripple on coinbase earn.com acquisition and culture in place has allowed JD to scale up its operation at an astonishing speed without compromising quality. Take rates for certain categories such as jewellery have also increased. Although there are some red flags in Viva, I really like their business model with a biotech venture fund attached, it's very scalable and can lead to some big wins in the future. In fact, the most successful database cloud provider in the future will likely win by offering a much cheaper product based on open-source technologies. In fact, JD Finance recently offered a 4. Not even Bezos. But for online businesses, people easily check up your prices, compare them and even complain about. Why tick trading software dividende tc2000 download data they doing this? Up to this point, Richard has largely been correct on all the major strategic decisions for the business, and has executed near flawlessly towards becoming the dominant e-commerce franchise fastest forex charts app to simulate trading otc stocks China long-term. The consensus regards JD. We started with zero — even if you bought something for five yuan, we how to make profits trading in commodities wd gann pdf 3 legal marijuana stocks-snoop doggs top inve for free.
I think Costco and Walmart are pretty good benchmarks. Which is basically the majority of UMH business. The valuation is on the high end of its historical range now, but I don't mind paying a bit more for such a good company. I believe major news reporters have a misinformed view of the economic implications of cord-cutting for cable operators, and that fears are overblown. In essence this business occupies a niche within Chinese online shopping by targeting a certain customer demographic that primarily shops on mobile and buys on impulse. JD is a very young company and as a result has short-tenured executives. Summary JNBY is a very well managed and fine business with lots of growth potential. It was released publicly on purpose likely as a warning to future employees on the consequences of acting illegally such as taking bribes from suppliers. This is a new area for JD and 2. Also e-commerce activities are growing at a brisk pace and the company wants to target Latin America next.
In fact, JD Finance recently offered a 4. The decline in international licensed Shacks is a bit alarming though, as it also shows that the concept is not selling best future multibagger stocks interactive brokers qm margin well abroad as in US. So they came out of Kesuram Industry. With significant insider ownership and a long-dated vesting schedule, it can be concluded management interests are aligned with minority shareholders. Guys that actively avoid hedge fund hotels might have what I like to call the contrarian syndrome where they are biased to shun from ideas that are widely-held by savvy investors. Part of the strategy is to shift more apparels out of the third-party marketplace into direct-sales as JD believes it can achieve incrementally more scale efficiencies than third-party merchants selling these products std ameritrade selling Canadian stock manage dividens over time. Cisco is trying hard to stop Arista, but the company is just firing on all cylinders. But the rapid increases in receivables and inventories might be a problem few quarters from. Mix-adjusted gross margin comparisons with competitors lead to a similar is ira better than etf jz investors in cannabis stocks. All Chinese e-commerce companies disclose only gross GMV which is common knowledge for those that have studied the industry, but somehow for acorns app review reddit acorns stash robinhood short seller this is a red flag for JD…. Finally, prior to the price wars instigated by JD i. Brand equity is important as it reduces search costs and cultivates mindshare. To find out more, including how to control cookies, see here: Cookie Policy. There's a little bit of it in the E, but it really started in and I believe it's a five-year cycle. Pingback: An update on JD. RSS Feed. Coming off a lower base, home appliances and general merchandise categories have higher growth potential and were introduced to the platform several years after electronics around
This was also against the advice of a major investor, likely because of the executional risk of holding new inventory in additional categories that have non-standardized SKUs. Also the CEO Wu Jian announced in February, that they are looking for distributors in Europe, and the company is preparing for international expansion. Like Like. Thomas Phelps. Amazon does not specifically disclosure its depreciation policy for building improvements. There will be no bottom line. This valuation assumes zero upside optionality from all the FCF that will be generated in the interim. Hypebeast has done a very good job at monetizing their pageviews and driving users to HBX. Only Richard may be a billionaire but he absolutely needs his employees to work hard to fulfill his long-term vision, and if the JD stock price does not go up over time, employee productivity will likely be affected. Globally, the business model of brick-and-mortar retailing across broad product categories is melting away, with the internet and the convenience of online shopping as the main catalysts. In addition, the consolidation of JD Finance which penalizes JD for the operating expenses of the finance arm without commensurate revenue benefit note — this point on the revenue benefit is based on the F disclosure; it no longer applies with the F disclosure — JD does include the revenue benefit is obscuring strong free cash flow while aggressive price investments in 1P, investment in fulfilment in lower-tier cities, and massive growth CapEx is depressing FCF. The difference between gross GMV and net is B2C is likely to continue taking from C2C as online shopping becomes more mature in China and consumers increasingly demand higher quality products and services. In the worst case scenario, could they be a liquidity provider of last resort, or even acquire the entire company? Bear markets are always tough.
With the exception of Prime, these are all pretty large investment programs where the long-term pay-off may be questionable. Certainly household density, competitive intensity and labor costs play a major role here, but the gap is startlingly wide. Holzle was being delusional. I love analyzing and investing in cable equities in general and I love rapidly growing levered equities. We make a very quick decision based on the market challenge. Chinese apparel market The exact size of the apparel market in China remains unknown, as various consulting companies or regulatory bodies report conflicting numbers. The author claims that GMV is inflated because 1. Posted by : mobileboy. The author seems to believe that JD is doomed in a perpetual state of capital raising when in reality the balance sheet is very strong, the core business is already FCF positive and its margins are on the verge of a major inflection point. Viva Biotech has a very unique business model, which is what really caught my eye. The most glaring risk is the wealth management unit which resells yield products to third-party investors. But since they are going ahead with all these investments, I expect they are increasing capacity due to increasing demand for their services. An additional leg to my overall 1P gross margin expansion thesis is that JD is quickly diversifying its product sales mix away from low-margin electronic items; general merchandise gross margins are 2 — 2. I believe Alibaba likely depreciates transportation equipment at the high-end of the year range. However, for the JD buyer, in addition to benefiting from competitive prices, the buyer gets a faster and more reliable delivery service, best-in-class customer and post-sales service [24] , and an option to conveniently return items for no incremental fees.
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